Connor McDavid vs Mikael Granlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Granlund 49.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 75.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 57.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
McDavid
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McDavid
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
49.5% (588)
-1.8%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
60.5% (43)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
45.2% (93)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
McDavid
Granlund
Home
47.3% (387)
54.8% (305)
Away
48.1% (389)
45.8% (419)
By Period
McDavid
Granlund
P1
47.6%
43.8%
P2
50.0%
51.2%
P3
45.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |