Connor McDavid vs Mikael Granlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Granlund 48.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 25-22 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.9%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 51.1%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
McDavid
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
25
(47 meetings)
22
25
McDavid
Granlund
Last 10: McDavid 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
4
7
McDavid
Granlund
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
10
8
McDavid
Granlund
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
8
10
McDavid
Granlund
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
48.5% (6,718)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
52.7% (748)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
43.6% (635)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
McDavid
Granlund
Home
49.3% (4,570)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
McDavid
Granlund
P1
46.5%
48.7%
P2
48.7%
48.7%
P3
48.3%
48.2%
OT
40.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |