Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Kadri 50.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 82.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 73.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
McDavid
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
McDavid
Kadri
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
McDavid
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
6
McDavid
Kadri
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
50.3% (1,002)
-8.9%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
51.4% (72)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
26.3% (19)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Kadri is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kadri
Home
42.8% (451)
52.3% (568)
Away
40.0% (458)
47.4% (525)
By Period
McDavid
Kadri
P1
38.0%
51.5%
P2
44.9%
49.4%
P3
41.7%
49.2%
OT
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 14:10 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |