Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Kadri 47.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 72.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 50.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
McDavid
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McDavid
Kadri
Last 6: McDavid 3-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
46.2% (1,005)
+5.3%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
57.3% (199)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
26.7% (30)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kadri
Home
50.7% (513)
47.4% (641)
Away
53.2% (498)
47.6% (593)
By Period
McDavid
Kadri
P1
52.3%
46.9%
P2
51.6%
49.5%
P3
51.7%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |