Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Kadri 49.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
McDavid
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McDavid
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
47.7% (975)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
54.0% (226)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
55.6% (9)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kadri
Home
51.8% (415)
48.3% (621)
Away
50.4% (450)
49.6% (589)
By Period
McDavid
Kadri
P1
47.5%
48.1%
P2
51.6%
48.9%
P3
55.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |