Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Kadri 46.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 60.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 54.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
McDavid
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McDavid
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
McDavid
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
45.7% (1,295)
+2.0%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
52.7% (146)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
34.8% (23)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
McDavid
Kadri
Home
47.3% (387)
46.5% (725)
Away
48.1% (389)
46.0% (739)
By Period
McDavid
Kadri
P1
47.6%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
44.9%
P3
45.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |