Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Suzuki 44.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 76.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 74.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
McDavid
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
3
(17 meetings)
14
3
McDavid
Suzuki
Last 10: McDavid 8-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
2
McDavid
Suzuki
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
43.8% (623)
+5.3%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
48.1% (129)
+30.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
34.1% (44)
-34.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McDavid is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (182).
McDavid shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suzuki
Home
56.1% (330)
44.8% (364)
Away
42.5% (308)
43.3% (432)
By Period
McDavid
Suzuki
P1
49.2%
45.8%
P2
47.4%
42.3%
P3
53.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |