Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 53.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
McDavid
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McDavid
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
McDavid
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
McDavid
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
52.4% (981)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
50.7% (304)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
36.4% (33)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McDavid is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (282).
McDavid shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suzuki
Home
47.3% (387)
53.2% (645)
Away
48.1% (389)
50.1% (673)
By Period
McDavid
Suzuki
P1
47.6%
48.9%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
45.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 03:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |