Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 70.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 59.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
McDavid
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McDavid
Suzuki
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
0
McDavid
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
McDavid
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
47.0% (1,066)
+4.5%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
49.5% (204)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
46.6% (131)
+4.6%
On power play, McDavid has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McDavid is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (357).
McDavid shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suzuki
Home
50.7% (513)
49.4% (686)
Away
53.2% (498)
45.3% (715)
By Period
McDavid
Suzuki
P1
52.3%
45.6%
P2
51.6%
46.9%
P3
51.7%
49.8%
OT
100.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |