Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 50.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 58.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
McDavid
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McDavid
Suzuki
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
2
McDavid
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
McDavid
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
50.3% (1,075)
+4.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
49.3% (219)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
43.1% (116)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McDavid is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (367).
McDavid shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
McDavid
Suzuki
Home
53.6% (507)
53.6% (711)
Away
53.8% (539)
45.5% (699)
By Period
McDavid
Suzuki
P1
52.6%
48.5%
P2
54.1%
51.7%
P3
54.9%
49.0%
OT
44.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |