Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +53.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Cates 46.7% (+53.7%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.5%
Defensive zone
McDavid 72.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
McDavid
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
0.0% (6)
+54.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On even strength, McDavid has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Cates is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
McDavid
Cates
Home
53.6% (507)
0.0% (5)
Away
53.8% (539)
0.0% (2)
By Period
McDavid
Cates
P1
52.6%
0.0%
P2
54.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%