Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Dubois 46.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 36-31 in 67 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 51.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 61.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 56.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
McDavid
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
31
(67 meetings)
36
31
McDavid
Dubois
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
13
7
McDavid
Dubois
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
McDavid
Dubois
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
13
14
McDavid
Dubois
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
46.2% (7,002)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
51.3% (606)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
48.1% (108)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,073).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
49.3% (4,570)
47.9% (3,872)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
45.4% (3,844)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
46.5%
47.6%
P2
48.7%
45.6%
P3
48.3%
46.8%
OT
40.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |