Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Dubois 49.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 60.1%
Defensive zone
Dubois 58.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.6%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
McDavid
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McDavid
Dubois
Last 6: McDavid 3-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
McDavid
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
49.8% (1,064)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
46.3% (67)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
53.3% (30)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
47.3% (387)
48.3% (582)
Away
48.1% (389)
51.1% (579)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
47.6%
52.0%
P2
50.0%
49.9%
P3
45.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |