Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 65.0%
Defensive zone
Dubois 65.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 62.5%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
McDavid
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
McDavid
Dubois
Last 6: McDavid 0-6 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
McDavid
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
McDavid
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
McDavid
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
49.3% (842)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
57.1% (35)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
55.6% (9)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
51.8% (415)
51.0% (445)
Away
50.4% (450)
48.3% (441)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
47.5%
50.3%
P2
51.6%
49.5%
P3
55.5%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |