Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Dubois 49.4% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.8%
Defensive zone
Dubois 51.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McDavid
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (650)
46.2% (225)
+1.3%
Power Play
48.6% (72)
66.7% (27)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (43)
75.0% (8)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
50.2% (400)
46.6% (163)
Away
44.7% (365)
53.6% (97)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
47.5%
45.0%
P2
48.6%
52.3%
P3
46.7%
50.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.2%