Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.6% vs Dubois 46.6% (+5.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 57.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 56.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 54.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
McDavid
Dubois
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (540)
40.3% (72)
+6.0%
Power Play
52.4% (63)
66.7% (3)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (38)
66.7% (3)
-14.1%
On power play, Dubois has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (454).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
49.8% (325)
34.5% (29)
Away
44.6% (316)
46.9% (49)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
46.2%
35.7%
P2
48.6%
42.9%
P3
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.3%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.3%