Connor McDavid vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Dubois 49.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 72.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 69.3%
Neutral zone
Dubois 53.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
McDavid
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McDavid
Dubois
Last 7: McDavid 3-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
McDavid
Dubois
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
McDavid
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
48.7% (809)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
50.9% (163)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
37.5% (16)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
McDavid
Dubois
Home
50.7% (513)
50.5% (497)
Away
53.2% (498)
47.3% (491)
By Period
McDavid
Dubois
P1
52.3%
49.0%
P2
51.6%
48.2%
P3
51.7%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |