Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Bennett 46.5% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 73.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 68.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
McDavid
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McDavid
Bennett
Last 5: McDavid 4-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
McDavid
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
46.3% (737)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
40.0% (25)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
46.9% (49)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McDavid is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
McDavid shoots left. Bennett is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bennett
Home
48.7% (413)
48.1% (437)
Away
37.4% (393)
43.9% (374)
By Period
McDavid
Bennett
P1
38.8%
47.3%
P2
46.8%
44.2%
P3
44.2%
46.9%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |