Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Bennett 47.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 54.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 79.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 70.5%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
McDavid
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
McDavid
Bennett
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
McDavid
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
0
McDavid
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
McDavid
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
45.5% (756)
+8.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
63.0% (92)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
31.0% (29)
+2.3%
On power play, Bennett has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Bennett is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bennett
Home
53.6% (507)
46.5% (456)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.3% (421)
By Period
McDavid
Bennett
P1
52.6%
46.6%
P2
54.1%
50.5%
P3
54.9%
43.5%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |