Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McDavid wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Couturier 48.7% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 72.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 70.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 67.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
McDavid
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McDavid
Couturier
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
McDavid
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
McDavid
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
48.9% (919)
-8.2%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
44.0% (84)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
50.0% (102)
+0.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
McDavid shoots left. Couturier is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couturier
Home
42.7% (323)
51.4% (592)
Away
39.5% (281)
45.4% (513)
By Period
McDavid
Couturier
P1
42.3%
49.2%
P2
37.3%
49.0%
P3
43.4%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |