Connor McDavid vs Sean Couturier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Couturier 52.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 78.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 67.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
McDavid
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
27
(57 meetings)
30
27
McDavid
Couturier
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
11
4
McDavid
Couturier
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
10
14
McDavid
Couturier
24 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
McDavid
Couturier
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
52.5% (11,063)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
59.7% (1,280)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
48.5% (1,816)
-5.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
McDavid shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couturier
Home
49.3% (4,570)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
McDavid
Couturier
P1
46.5%
52.5%
P2
48.7%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
52.9%
OT
40.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
50.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |