Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 61.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 63.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 80.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
McDavid
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
McDavid
Couturier
Last 10: McDavid 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
1
McDavid
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
53.8% (1,003)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
56.4% (202)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
42.7% (89)
-6.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McDavid is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (616).
McDavid shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couturier
Home
51.8% (415)
54.4% (680)
Away
50.4% (450)
52.4% (614)
By Period
McDavid
Couturier
P1
47.5%
56.3%
P2
51.6%
51.8%
P3
55.5%
52.2%
OT
50.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |