Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Couturier 54.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 56.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
McDavid
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McDavid
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McDavid
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
57.4% (303)
-3.1%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
65.5% (55)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
40.0% (70)
-6.7%
On power play, Couturier has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couturier
Home
53.6% (507)
54.3% (219)
Away
53.8% (539)
56.9% (209)
By Period
McDavid
Couturier
P1
52.6%
53.2%
P2
54.1%
54.8%
P3
54.9%
57.9%
OT
44.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |