Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.9% vs Zegras 41.3% (+11.1%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 51.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.2%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
McDavid
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (715)
36.5% (156)
+11.2%
Power Play
51.9% (52)
40.7% (27)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
0.0% (3)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
McDavid shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
McDavid
Zegras
Home
47.3% (387)
38.9% (113)
Away
48.1% (389)
32.9% (73)
By Period
McDavid
Zegras
P1
47.6%
40.0%
P2
50.0%
38.1%
P3
45.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%