Connor McDavid vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 58.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 56.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
McDavid
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
McDavid
Karlsson
Last 10: McDavid 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
McDavid
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
5
McDavid
Karlsson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
51.4% (735)
+2.9%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
63.5% (115)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
42.9% (133)
-9.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
McDavid
Karlsson
Home
53.6% (507)
52.3% (524)
Away
53.8% (539)
51.0% (459)
By Period
McDavid
Karlsson
P1
52.6%
50.7%
P2
54.1%
51.4%
P3
54.9%
53.2%
OT
44.4%
41.2%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |