Connor McDavid vs William Karlsson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 77.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 77.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
McDavid
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
McDavid
Karlsson
Last 10: McDavid 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
4
2
McDavid
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
1
McDavid
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (889)
55.3% (897)
-3.8%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
61.1% (113)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
50.8% (132)
+0.4%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. McDavid is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
McDavid shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
McDavid
Karlsson
Home
50.7% (513)
58.6% (560)
Away
53.2% (498)
52.2% (582)
By Period
McDavid
Karlsson
P1
52.3%
55.8%
P2
51.6%
55.6%
P3
51.7%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.5%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:35 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | William Karlsson |