Connor McMichael vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Pageau 55.0% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 68.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 91.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
McMichael
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McMichael
Pageau
Last 5: McMichael 4-1 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
McMichael
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
55.8% (1,000)
-12.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.6% (182)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.2% (170)
-51.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McMichael is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (122).
McMichael shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pageau
Home
42.7% (178)
57.1% (674)
Away
43.1% (167)
53.5% (678)
By Period
McMichael
Pageau
P1
40.7%
56.9%
P2
50.0%
54.5%
P3
36.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |