Connor McMichael vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.2% vs Pageau 55.0% (-13.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone McMichael 86.0%
Defensive zone McMichael 67.0%
Neutral zone McMichael 82.7%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
McMichael Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 6 (8 meetings)
2
6
McMichael Pageau
Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Pageau

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
McMichael Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
2
McMichael Pageau
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
57.1% (905)
-13.7%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
55.2% (116)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
48.0% (204)
-17.2%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pageau
Home
42.1% (444)
57.0% (618)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.9% (607)
By Period
McMichael
Pageau
P1
42.5%
54.4%
P2
41.9%
61.0%
P3
42.5%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
53.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.4%
Pageau
54.0%
57.5%
55.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 29, 2023 1 18:13 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 29, 2023 1 12:20 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 29, 2023 1 00:37 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 11, 2023 2 12:03 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 2, 2023 3 18:32 Offensive Connor McMichael
Nov 2, 2023 2 17:45 Neutral Connor McMichael
Nov 2, 2023 2 17:33 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 2, 2023 2 01:22 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau