Connor McMichael vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Pageau 58.7% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 58.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 66.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
McMichael
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
McMichael
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
59.6% (711)
-15.9%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
64.0% (114)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
56.4% (163)
-3.5%
On even strength, Pageau has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pageau
Home
42.6% (54)
59.3% (506)
Away
50.9% (55)
60.0% (482)
By Period
McMichael
Pageau
P1
42.9%
56.8%
P2
40.5%
64.4%
P3
57.1%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%