Connor McMichael vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi

2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 44.5% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 81.1%
Defensive zone Kotkaniemi 74.2%
Neutral zone Kotkaniemi 83.3%
Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
McMichael Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 2 (7 meetings)
5
2
McMichael Kotkaniemi
Last 7: McMichael 5-2 Kotkaniemi

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael Kotkaniemi
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
49.8% (309)
-6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.5% (31)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +50.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.7% (178)
51.7% (203)
Away
43.1% (167)
50.4% (141)
By Period
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
P1
40.7%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
50.4%
P3
36.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
55.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
51.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 28, 2022 3 14:10 Defensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Mar 28, 2022 2 17:46 Defensive Connor McMichael
Mar 18, 2022 2 03:51 Neutral Connor McMichael
Mar 18, 2022 1 07:32 Neutral Connor McMichael
Mar 18, 2022 1 05:30 Offensive Connor McMichael
Mar 18, 2022 1 05:24 Offensive Connor McMichael
Mar 18, 2022 1 05:17 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi