Connor McMichael vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 74.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 60.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 67.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: McMichael 4-3 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.7% (586)
-8.3%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
48.1% (52)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
62.5% (8)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.1% (444)
49.5% (313)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.5% (333)
By Period
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
P1
42.5%
54.5%
P2
41.9%
51.1%
P3
42.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |