Connor McMichael vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.2% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-9.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Kotkaniemi 74.2%
Defensive zone Kotkaniemi 60.9%
Neutral zone Kotkaniemi 67.1%
Result Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
McMichael Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 3 (7 meetings)
4
3
McMichael Kotkaniemi
Last 7: McMichael 4-3 Kotkaniemi

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
McMichael Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael Kotkaniemi
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.7% (586)
-8.3%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
48.1% (52)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
62.5% (8)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +31.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.1% (444)
49.5% (313)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.5% (333)
By Period
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
P1
42.5%
54.5%
P2
41.9%
51.1%
P3
42.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%
49.0%
51.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 22, 2024 2 19:54 Neutral Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 5, 2024 3 11:42 Defensive Connor McMichael
Jan 5, 2024 2 14:27 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 5, 2024 1 15:54 Offensive Jesperi Kotkaniemi
Jan 5, 2024 1 11:46 Offensive Connor McMichael
Dec 17, 2023 3 02:24 Neutral Connor McMichael
Dec 17, 2023 2 08:25 Neutral Connor McMichael