Connor McMichael vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 63.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 55.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (367)
47.7% (195)
-4.9%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
100.0% (2)
-49.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
33.3% (3)
+5.6%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McMichael is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (332).
McMichael shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Home
43.4% (267)
46.8% (126)
Away
42.5% (221)
50.0% (74)
By Period
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
P1
46.2%
50.0%
P2
41.3%
47.9%
P3
42.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |