Connor McMichael vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Kotkaniemi 49.2% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 77.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: McMichael 5-5 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
5
2
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
49.0% (3,852)
-5.9%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
51.3% (351)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
45.7% (35)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,784).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
Home
42.6% (976)
49.7% (2,197)
Away
43.3% (904)
48.7% (2,041)
By Period
McMichael
Kotkaniemi
P1
43.3%
49.9%
P2
43.2%
50.4%
P3
41.9%
47.2%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:25 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |