Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Paul 50.0% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 60.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 65.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McMichael
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
48.8% (666)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
53.8% (65)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
60.0% (55)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
McMichael
Paul
Home
42.6% (54)
49.7% (348)
Away
50.9% (55)
50.2% (438)
By Period
McMichael
Paul
P1
42.9%
51.0%
P2
40.5%
47.4%
P3
57.1%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%