Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Steel 49.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 65.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 54.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
McMichael
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMichael
Steel
Last 5: McMichael 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
McMichael
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
McMichael
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
49.3% (383)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
59.1% (22)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
14.3% (7)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
McMichael
Steel
Home
42.7% (178)
49.4% (180)
Away
43.1% (167)
49.1% (232)
By Period
McMichael
Steel
P1
40.7%
51.9%
P2
50.0%
43.8%
P3
36.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:46 | Neutral | Sam Steel |