Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Steel 46.6% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 62.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 61.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.9%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
McMichael
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
44.6% (177)
-1.2%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
66.7% (3)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
44.8% (29)
-14.0%
On power play, Steel has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Steel is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
McMichael
Steel
Home
42.1% (444)
46.7% (90)
Away
42.8% (428)
43.7% (119)
By Period
McMichael
Steel
P1
42.5%
47.8%
P2
41.9%
47.0%
P3
42.5%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%