Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 76.2%
Defensive zone
McMichael 73.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 71.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
McMichael
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McMichael
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McMichael
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McMichael
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
51.5% (641)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
62.8% (129)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
33.3% (9)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
McMichael
Monahan
Home
42.7% (178)
53.9% (362)
Away
43.1% (167)
52.5% (417)
By Period
McMichael
Monahan
P1
40.7%
48.0%
P2
50.0%
57.0%
P3
36.9%
54.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 05:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |