Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
McMichael
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McMichael
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
52.4% (853)
-8.7%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
58.6% (174)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
46.5% (144)
+6.4%
On even strength, Monahan has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
McMichael
Monahan
Home
42.6% (54)
53.4% (624)
Away
50.9% (55)
51.7% (547)
By Period
McMichael
Monahan
P1
42.9%
53.7%
P2
40.5%
52.4%
P3
57.1%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%