Connor McMichael vs Sean Monahan

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Monahan holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (-10.4%)
H2H factor Monahan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 65.1%
Defensive zone McMichael 67.7%
Neutral zone McMichael 66.6%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
McMichael Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 7 (11 meetings)
4
7
McMichael Monahan
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Monahan

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
McMichael Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
McMichael Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael Monahan
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
53.2% (823)
-10.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.3% (159)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
48.4% (95)
-7.8%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
McMichael
Monahan
Home
43.0% (298)
54.6% (529)
Away
42.5% (252)
51.6% (548)
By Period
McMichael
Monahan
P1
46.5%
49.0%
P2
41.1%
55.4%
P3
41.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.7%
Monahan
54.0%
52.5%
53.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 7, 2025 3 00:59 Defensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 3 13:28 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 2 01:32 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 1 12:55 Offensive Connor McMichael
Nov 24, 2025 1 06:05 Neutral Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 1 02:33 Offensive Sean Monahan
Nov 24, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 3 10:47 Offensive Sean Monahan
Oct 24, 2025 2 19:13 Neutral Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 2 04:15 Offensive Connor McMichael
Oct 24, 2025 2 01:03 Offensive Sean Monahan