Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Sturm 57.1% (-21.5%)
Offensive zone
Zary 75.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 86.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 65.6%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Zary
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
62.1% (356)
-25.5%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
75.0% (4)
-33.3%
On power play, Sturm has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Zary
Sturm
Home
38.8% (152)
61.8% (191)
Away
34.8% (89)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Zary
Sturm
P1
33.3%
58.0%
P2
31.7%
57.9%
P3
47.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
32.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%