Connor Zary vs Nico Sturm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zary 47.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone Zary 70.3%
Defensive zone Sturm 77.4%
Neutral zone Sturm 54.9%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Zary Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zary
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
54.6% (271)
-7.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +7.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Zary
Sturm
Home
45.6% (79)
53.0% (168)
Away
44.7% (76)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Zary
Sturm
P1
48.3%
58.2%
P2
46.3%
53.2%
P3
39.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%
46.0%
45.2%
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
54.6%