Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 46.9% vs Monahan 54.5% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 73.6%
Defensive zone
Zary 67.1%
Neutral zone
Zary 73.1%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Zary
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Zary
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Zary
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Zary
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (106)
57.1% (871)
-11.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
53.1% (262)
-53.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zary is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Zary shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Zary
Monahan
Home
41.9% (62)
55.3% (644)
Away
46.8% (47)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Zary
Monahan
P1
42.9%
53.9%
P2
42.5%
55.3%
P3
47.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
16.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |