Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 87.3%
Defensive zone
Zary 80.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 87.3%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Zary
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Zary
Monahan
Last 7: Zary 0-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Zary
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Zary
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
52.4% (853)
-15.8%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
58.6% (174)
-16.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Zary
Monahan
Home
38.8% (152)
53.4% (624)
Away
34.8% (89)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Zary
Monahan
P1
33.3%
53.7%
P2
31.7%
52.4%
P3
47.5%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
32.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |