Connor Zary vs Sean Monahan

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Monahan holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 39.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zary 45.1% vs Monahan 53.1% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone Monahan 55.2%
Defensive zone Monahan 57.2%
Neutral zone Monahan 55.1%
Result Sean Monahan favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Zary Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zary
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
53.8% (664)
-10.8%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
53.3% (137)
-21.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +21.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zary is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Zary shoots left. Monahan is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Zary
Monahan
Home
43.5% (69)
54.8% (405)
Away
39.1% (64)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Zary
Monahan
P1
46.0%
49.6%
P2
40.0%
53.9%
P3
36.8%
55.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%
41.5%
41.4%
Monahan
58.0%
53.0%
53.4%