Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 83.2%
Defensive zone
Zary 79.8%
Neutral zone
Zary 84.1%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Zary
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
10
(10 meetings)
0
10
Zary
Monahan
Last 10: Zary 0-10 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Zary
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
6
Zary
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
51.1% (11,356)
-9.3%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
53.7% (2,580)
-17.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Zary
Monahan
Home
41.3% (293)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
41.0% (212)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Zary
Monahan
P1
40.4%
50.9%
P2
38.6%
51.7%
P3
45.2%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
34.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |