Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 48.2% vs Novak 46.5% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 61.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 52.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Smith
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (12)
43.2% (118)
-9.9%
On even strength, Novak has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Smith is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Smith shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Smith
Novak
Home
16.7% (6)
50.7% (71)
Away
50.0% (6)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Smith
Novak
P1
16.7%
44.7%
P2
75.0%
50.0%
P3
0.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%