Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 49.0% vs Novak 43.5% (-17.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 66.0%
Defensive zone
Novak 50.3%
Neutral zone
Novak 61.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Smith
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
40.7% (460)
-7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.5% (39)
-61.5%
On power play, Novak has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Smith is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (3).
Smith shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Smith
Novak
Home
100.0% (1)
47.0% (236)
Away
0.0% (3)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Smith
Novak
P1
0.0%
43.1%
P3
100.0%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
25.0%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%