Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.7% vs Novak 45.6% (-22.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 67.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Smith
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (9)
43.8% (384)
-21.6%
On even strength, Novak has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Smith is 14.3% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Smith shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Smith
Novak
Home
33.3% (6)
46.5% (202)
Away
0.0% (3)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Smith
Novak
P1
0.0%
49.2%
P2
40.0%
44.2%
P3
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
0.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
22.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%