Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.2% vs Novak 45.0% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Smith 50.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 62.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Smith
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
29.4% (17)
42.9% (198)
-13.5%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
40.9% (22)
+9.1%
On even strength, Novak has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Smith is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Smith shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Smith
Novak
Home
44.4% (9)
40.9% (110)
Away
28.6% (14)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Smith
Novak
P1
33.3%
39.1%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
14.3%
44.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
34.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%