Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Larkin 52.1% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 74.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 52.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lazar
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
51.8% (903)
-0.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.0% (225)
-56.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
47.4% (76)
-9.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Lazar
Larkin
Home
43.5% (131)
55.6% (662)
Away
53.7% (147)
48.3% (542)
By Period
Lazar
Larkin
P1
53.8%
49.9%
P2
50.5%
52.7%
P3
41.2%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
68.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%