Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Larkin 55.0% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 50.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Lazar
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
55.9% (943)
-7.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.4% (244)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
46.2% (106)
+3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Lazar
Larkin
Home
49.2% (189)
56.0% (654)
Away
48.3% (176)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Lazar
Larkin
P1
50.8%
54.4%
P2
45.2%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%